Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 11.565410 13.204856 15.000172 17.113147 19.533458 22.221007 25.434271
2026-01-25 9.117906 11.212609 13.685177 16.823090 20.705771 25.360907 31.379042
2026-02-01 7.668612 9.940008 12.767846 16.554858 21.506716 27.779887 36.360001
2026-02-08 6.627109 8.968830 12.014538 16.277982 22.112858 29.849434 40.938246
2026-02-15 5.824230 8.182222 11.367516 16.001223 22.599613 31.703555 45.297837
2026-02-22 5.478544 7.962081 11.434492 16.666054 24.390652 35.443274 52.579101
2026-03-01 5.072713 7.602360 11.251431 16.927113 25.588551 38.399737 58.956011
2026-03-08 4.640123 7.152911 10.883098 16.857521 26.256292 40.590405 64.332721
2026-03-15 4.250396 6.726410 10.501521 16.715617 26.773252 42.558377 69.495066
2026-03-22 4.068430 6.602878 10.567609 17.268094 28.414324 46.399169 77.987637
2026-03-29 3.884266 6.456068 10.578166 17.720735 29.915414 50.116515 86.585134
2026-04-05 3.748515 6.374349 10.682203 18.327749 31.711633 54.451373 96.604217
2026-04-12 3.427986 5.957948 10.202017 17.909369 31.728938 55.787074 101.534341
2026-04-19 3.161717 5.612447 9.813210 17.613686 31.929611 57.447938 107.189821
2026-04-26 2.925250 5.298881 9.452515 17.332217 32.120904 59.088717 112.927918
2026-05-03 2.710760 5.006765 9.105227 17.041973 32.262476 60.633730 118.598239
2026-05-10 2.516634 4.736081 8.774498 16.751848 32.372258 62.113568 124.251581
2026-05-17 2.472925 4.743478 8.956355 17.448795 34.435619 67.488598 138.146441
2026-05-24 2.376564 4.641849 8.923526 17.722476 35.682240 71.358101 149.307020
2026-05-31 2.245342 4.461670 8.725321 17.649519 36.220066 73.844472 157.785959
2026-06-07 2.115780 4.274742 8.499467 17.500755 36.585585 75.999479 165.736092
2026-06-14 2.074905 4.263935 8.622734 18.079950 38.519159 81.566140 181.635723
2026-06-21 2.024484 4.229333 8.694379 18.554502 40.264747 86.869252 197.427435